After months of deliberations, Senators
Barbara Boxer (D-CA) and John Kerry (DMA)
have unveiled climate change legislation
that they hope will be the vehicle for broader
Senate negotiations and eventual melding
with a bill that recently passed the House by
several votes.
Kerry and Boxer said they have no
pretensions that their bill will be the final
product as both called it a starting point in
an effort to gain the support of moderates
and conservatives from both parties.
The Senate bill is fashioned in large part
off H.R. 2454, legislation narrowly approved
in June by the House. Senate Democratic
aides say they expect the legislation to divert
from the House bill’s 17 percent emissions
reduction target for 2020 and go with a
more aggressive 20 percent reduction. The
bill is silent on exactly how the Senate should
divide up emission allowances.
Several Democratic senators working
outside of the Boxer-Kerry camp said the
bill will need a lot of work and that their
ideas would be worked into the legislation
at a later date. They did not expect the
Boxer-Kerry bill to include language
adopted in the House that attempts to assist
energy-intensive manufacturing industries,
including steel, pulp, paper, and cement.
However, Boxer and Kerry are reportedly
not dismissive of potentially including
House language on manufacturing.
Other senators noted their concerns
on issues related to agriculture, offsets,
and energy intensive industries were not
addressed in the initial draft.
A number of organizations and groups
have come out against the House and Senate
climate legislation, saying it will threaten
American families with higher energy prices,
job losses and other long-term damage to the nation’s economy. Critics claim the
legislation would also result in higher food
and transportation costs and force more
of the nation’s ailing manufacturing base
overseas, causing additional ripples through
the economy.
Some groups, such as the U.S. Chamber
of Commerce, say they do not oppose efforts
to control greenhouse gas emissions, but
warned that the House-approved legislation
is highly flawed and will seriously hurt the
economy.
Meanwhile, the global consulting firm,
CRA International, warned Alaska will take a
big hit if Congress passes a climate bill similar
to the House bill, which passed by a 219-212
margin. According to the CRA study, Alaska
stands to lose as many as 13,000 jobs and
the average household could see its annual
expenses increase by as much as $3,890.
The study shows that nearly 7,700 jobs
in Alaska would be wiped out by 2015. By
2030, 13,000 jobs would be lost. The state’s
economic growth would be slowed by the
House bill as the estimated gross state product
would decline by 0.7 percent in 2015 and by
2.6 percent in 2030, CRA said.
The economic toll of the bill would also
lead to a reduction in Alaska state revenue
from tax receipts. Tax revenues would shrink
by $150 million in 2015 and by $270 million
in 2030.
The CRA analysis concluded that the
House bill would result in at least 2 million
job losses nationwide and would lead to a
1.3 percent decline in the national gross
domestic product in 2030.
The Obama administration has concluded
that the bill would cost American taxpayers
up to $200 billion a year, equivalent to
hiking personal income taxes by 15%. The
Department of Treasury analysis revealed
that at the upper end of the administration’s
estimate, the cost per American household
would be an extra $1,761 a year. Other
estimates range as high as $3,000 a year.
A study by the National Black Chamber
of Commerce showed the bill would cut
employment by 1.5 to 3.6 million people.
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